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      - [1 ]
- Problemas y modelos en el manejo de
          las plantaciones forestales [Problems and models in forest
        plantation management]. Esc. de Ingeniería Forestal, U. of Chile
        (Thesis). 1968.
- Yes, I have been a process modeller :-)
 With probably the first, and last, growth model implemented on an analog
        computer. English summary. 
        Spanish full text
        (PDF, 855 Kb).
- [2 ]
- Indices de sitio para pino insigne
          en Chile [Site indices for radiata pine in Chile]. Instituto
        Forestal, Chile. Serie de Investigación, Publ. No.2. 1970.
- Based on temporary plots. Pidgin English
        summary .
         Copy (Spanish, PDF, 627 Kb)
- [3 ]
- Algunos programas en APL [Some
        programs in APL]. Instituto Forestal, Chile. Informe Técnico 41. 1971.
- An APL
        time-sharing system was market tested by IBM in Holland and Chile ca.
        1968.
- [4 ]
- Perspectivas del abastecimiento de
          pino insigne a la industria en la región del Bío- Bío [Prospects
        for the supply of radiata pine to the industry in the Bío-Bío Region].
        Presented at the Meeting of Experts in Paper and Cellulose,
        Santiago, December 1972 (Mimeo.)
- A precursor of IFS [ 9
        ]. Surprisingly, the forecasts for the end of the Century were not too
        far off.
- [5 ]
- Ecuaciones altura-diámetro para pino
          insigne [Height-diameter equations for radiata pine]. Instituto
        Forestal, Chile. Nota Técnica 19. 1974.
- Yet another h-d study.
- [6 ]
- Sobre modelos matemáticos de rodal
        [On mathematical stand models]. Instituto Forestal, Chile. Informe
        Técnico 48. 1974.
- System Theory approach and examples.
        English summary
        . English translation
        (PDF, 191 Kb).  Copy (Spanish, PDF, 550
        Kb)
- [7 ]
- Processing of map information in a
          minicomputer . University of Georgia (Dissertation). 1976
- A rudimentary mini/microcomputer GIS (in
        8 Kb of memory!) Developed the "arc" data structure, concepts and
        terminology later used by ArcInfo. Abstract
        .  Excerpts
        (PDF, 773 Kb).
- [8 ]
- Modelling stand development with
          stochastic differential equations. In: Elliott,D.E. (ed) Mensuration
          Systems for Forest Management Planning. New Zealand Forest
        Service. Forest Research Institute Symposium No. 20, p.315-334. 1979.
- It's all there, although heavy-going.
        Read [17 ] and [27 ], and perhaps
        [6 ], first. Then graduate to [13
        ], [11 ], and [19 ] (and don't
        forget [20 ], somewhere.) Full
          text (re-formatted PDF, 190 Kb).
- [9 ]
- IFS, an interactive forest simulator
          for long range planning. New Zealand Journal of Forestry
          Science 11, 8-22. 1981.
- Descendant still 
          in use . More details and software here
        . Full PDF 
          text at Journal's web site.
- [ 10 ]
- Simplified method-of-moments
          estimation for the Weibull distribution. New Zealand Journal
          of Forestry Science 11, 304-306. 1981.
- Avoiding iteration. 
          Software . Full PDF 
          text at Journal's web site (missing 'exp' before the brackets in
        the second equation).
- [ 11 ]
- A stochastic differential equation
          model for the height growth of forest stands. Biometrics 39,
        1059-1072. 1983.
- Should have been the
        standard method for site index equations, with better marketing :-)
        Summary . Software
        .  Text in JSTOR.
- [ 12 ]
- FOLPI, a forestry-oriented Linear
          Programming interpreter.  In: Nagumo, H. et al (ed), Proceedings
          IUFRO Symposium on Forest Management Planning and Managerial
          Economics, p.293-305. University of Tokyo. 1984.
- Still routinely used for harvesting
        scheduling and planning in New Zealand and elsewhere (some bells and
        whistles added later.) Unfortunately, the software was caught in FRI's
        commercialization and became unavailable for a long while. 
          Forest Research sells it now. Abstract
        . Full text
        (PDF, 203 Kb).
- [ 13 ]
- New class of growth models for
          even-aged stands: Pinus radiata in Golden Downs Forest. New
          Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 14, 65-88. 1984.
- The only one from the dozen or so New
        Zealand state-space/stochastic- differential-equation regional growth
        models to be properly published. Abstract
        . Full PDF 
          text at Journal's web site.  Simulator
        .
- [ 14 ]
- Forest estate modelling (Part 2).
        In: Levak, H. (ed), 1986 Forestry Handbook . NZ Institute of
        Foresters (Inc.), Wellington. 1986.
- Introduction to harvest scheduling, with
        special reference to New Zealand. With a newer 1995 Forestry
          Handbook, I guess that the publishers would not mind if I place
        the full text here
        (PDF file, 34 Kb)
- [ 15 ]
- SEESAW, a visual sawing simulator -
          Part II: The SEESAW computer program .  In: Kininmonth, J.
        A. (comp), Proceedings of Conversion Planning Conference,
        p.107-116. Ministry of Forestry, FRI Bulletin No. 128. 1987.
- Early hardware-stretching computer
        graphics application. Another victim of commercialization. North
        American rights sold to Weyerhaeuser, who might not have used it but
        kept it off everybody else. Later versions known as AUTOSAW. Abstract,
        text (PDF,
        147 Kb).   Slideshow
        .  See also 
          Todoroki (1988) (PDF).
- [ 16 ]
- Experience with an advanced growth
          modelling methodology. In: Ek,A.R., Shifley,S.R. and Burke,T.E.
        (eds), Forest Growth Modelling and Prediction, p.668-675. USDA
        Forest Service, General Technical Report NC-120. 1988.
- Showing-off to the world. Abstract
        . "Advanced" sounded better than "abstruse" :-)
 GTR NC-120 online,
        USDA . Local copy.
- [ 17 ]
- Growth modelling - A (re)view.
        New Zealand Forestry 33 (3), 14-17. 1988.
- Look ma, no equations! (well, almost.) Summary. 
          Text at Journal's site (PDF file, 815 Kb).  Errata.
          Spanish translation
        (PDF file, 37 Kb).
- [ 17a ]
- Letter to the Editor: Pine
          needles and tree stems. New Zealand Journal of Forestry
          Science 18, 236. 1988.
- Relationship between surface and
        projected leaf area. PDF 
          text at Journal's web site.
- [18 ]
- Strategic planning for forest
          management with FOLPI (by O. García, B. Manley, and J.
        Threadgill). FRI, Rotorua, NZ, What's New in Forest Research
        No. 177. 1989.
- [19 ]
- Growth modelling - New developments.
        In: Nagumo, H. and Konohira, Y. (eds), Japan and New Zealand
          Symposium on Forestry Management Planning, p.152-158.  Japan
        Association for Forestry Statistics. 1989.
- Unhinibited maths, thanks to a receptive
        Japanese audience. Abstract
        . Full text
        (PDF, 79 Kb).
- [20 ]
- Growth of thinned and pruned stands.
        In: James, R.N. and Tarlton, G.L. (eds.) New Approaches to Spacing
          and Thinning in Plantation Forestry: Proceedings of a IUFRO Symposium.
        Ministry of Forestry, FRI Bulletin No. 151, p.84-97. 1990.
- No maths! Plenty of graphs, though. Abstract .
        Full text
        (re-formatted PDF, 217 Kb), scanned (PDF, 391
        Kb).
- [21 ]
- Linear Programming and related
          approaches in Forest Planning . New Zealand Journal of
          Forestry Science 20, 307-331. 1990.
- Network formulation of harvest
        scheduling models, relationships between models I, II and III (or C, B
        and A), etc. Abstract
        . Full PDF 
          text at Journal's web site.
- [22 ]
- A system for the differentiation of
          Fortran code and an application to parameter estimation in forest
          growth models. In: Griewank, A. and Corliss, G. F. (eds.) Automatic
          Differentiation of Algorithms: Theory, Implementation, and Application,
        p.273-285.  Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 1991.
- And now, to something completely
        different... Actually, a subproduct of the growth modelling efforts. Abstract, text
        (PDF 302 Kb). The 
          software .
- [23 ]
- What is a diameter distribution?
        In: Minowa, M. and Tsuyuki, S. (eds.) Proceedings of the Symposium
          on Integrated Forest Management Information Systems,
        p.11-29.  Japan Society of Forest Planning Press. 1992.
- Playing with distributions? Read this! Abstract .
        Full text
        (PDF, 157 Kb). More in [49].
- [24 ]
- Sampling for tree-ring analysis.
        In: Wood, G. and Turner, B. (eds.) Integrating Forest Information
          Over Space and Time, Proceedings of the International IUFRO Conference,
        p.110-128.  ANUTECH Pty Ltd, Canberra, Australia. 1992.
- Cunningly choosing stem analysis trees.
        Sampling schemes also promising as alternatives to 3P in forest
        inventory. Abstract
        . Full text
        (PDF, 203 Kb).
- [25 ]
- Stand growth models: Theory and
          practice. In: ``Advancement in Forest Inventory and Forest
        Management Sciences - Proceedings of the IUFRO Seoul Conference'',
        p.22-45. Forestry Research Institute of the Republic of Korea. 1993.
- Raw material for [27
        ], plus some bits on self-thinning that did not make it into the
        journal. Apologies for the narcissism that seems to come across,
        according to a referee of the journal version. Abstract
        . Full text
        (PDF, 248 Kb).
- [26 ]
- Un método simple para evaluar
          técnicas de establecimiento [A simple method for evaluating
        establishment techniques]. In: Barros A., S., Prado D., J. A., and
        Alvear S., C. (eds) Actas Simposio Los Eucaliptos en el Desarrollo
          Forestal de Chile . Instituto Forestal. 1994. Text
        (PDF, 87 Kb).
- Spanish version of [31
        ]. Equation (2) was eaten by the press (added in the copy here).
- [27 ]
- The state-space approach in growth
          modelling. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 24,
        1894-1903. 1994.
- Trying to explain it all. Abstract/Text. 
        Errata.  Spanish translation
        (PDF, 264 Kb). See also [25 ].
- [28 ]
- Indices de sitio preliminares para
          eucalipto [Preliminary site indices for eucalypt]. Ciencia e
          Investigación Forestal 9(1), 5-21. 1995.
- Part of the Chilean eucalypt modelling
        project that got published. Abstract
        .
- [29 ]
- Normas para la instalación y
          medición de parcelas permanentes en plantaciones de eucalipto
        [Standards for the installation and measurement of permanent sample
        plots in eucalypt plantations] (by O. García, S. Salas, and C. Zunino).
        Instituto Forestal, Chile (to appear).
- Actually, it seems unlikely now that it
        will ever appear. Anyway, it is 
          here . Today I would recommend standardizing on an electronic
        hypsometer, and maybe use its rangefinder to layout circular plots.
- [30 ]
- Evaluating forest growth models
        (by J. Vanclay, J. P. Skovsgaard, and O. García). In: Köhl, M. and
        Gertner, G. Z. (eds.) Caring for the Forest: Research in a Changing
          World - Statistics, Mathematics and Computers, Proceedings of the
        Meeting of S4.11-00 at the IUFRO XX World Congress (pp. 11-22.)
        Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research
        (WSL/FNP), 1996.
- Abstract
        .  Text
        (PDF)
- [31 ]
- Easy evaluation of establishment
          treatments . In: Klemperer, W. D. (ed.) Proceedings of the
          S4.04 Meetings on Forest Management Planning and Managerial Economics,
        IUFRO 20th World Congress, Tampere, Finland, August 6-12, 1995
        (pp. 89-94.) Virginia Tech, College of Forestry and Wildlife
        Resources. Publication No. FWS 1-96. 1996.
- Neat maths, maybe even practical. Based
        on [26 ]. Abstract
        . Full text
        (PDF, 227 Kb).
- [32 ]
- Estimating top height with variable
          plot sizes. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 28,
        1509-1517. 1998.
- Abstract/text.
- [33 ]
- Realized gain and prediction of
          yield with genetically improved Pinus radiata in New Zealand
        (by S. D. Carson, O. García and J. D. Hayes). Forest Science 45(2),
        186-200. 1999.
- Abstract
        .
- [34 ]
- Height growth of Pinus radiata
        in New Zealand New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science
        29(1), 131-145. 1999.
- NZ growth models documentation comming
        up (10 years late). Abstract
        . Full PDF 
          text at Journal's web site.
- [35 ]
- Functional differential equations in
          sustainable forest harvesting . Journal of Forest
          Planning 6(2), 49-63. 2001.
- Not for the mathematically squeamish. Abstract . A
        preprint
        (PDF, 648 Kb). Older version here
        .
- [36 ]
- Aproximación a la dinámica de los
          montes gallegos. Existencias y evolución de los tipos forestales en la
          Provincia de Pontevedra [Approximation to the dynamics of the
        Galician forests. Stocks and evolution of forest types in Pontevedra
        Province]. Investigación Agraria - Sistemas y Recursos
          Forestales 10(2), 291-310. 2001.
- English summary
        . Full text
        , from journal 
          site .
- [37 ]
- On bridging the gap between
          tree-level and stand-level models . In: Rennolls, K. (ed.)
        Proceedings of IUFRO 4.11 Conference
        'Forest Biometry, Modelling and Information Science', University of
        Greenwich, June 25-29, 2001. http://cms1.gre.ac.uk/conferences/iufro/proceedings/
        .
- Abstract
        . Full text available from 
          Greenwich site.
- [38 ]
- A growth model for eucalypt in
          Galicia, Spain. (by O. García and F. Ruiz). Forest
          Ecology and Management 173(1-3), 49-62. 2003.
- Abstract/text
        . Unedited preprint
        (PDF, 346 Kb).  Errata 
        (somebody actually read it!)
- [39 ]
- Dimensionality reduction in growth
          models:  An example.   Forest Biometry,
          Modelling and Information Sciences 1, 1-15. 2003.
- 
          Text at FBMIS
- [40 ]
- Structure and dynamics of trembling
          aspen-white spruce mixed stands near Fort Nelson, B.C. (by
        Richard D. Kabzems, and Oscar García). Canadian Journal of
          Forest Research 34(2), 384-395. 2004.
- The "obvious" successional
        interpretation bites the dust.  Synopsis. 
        Abstract/text.
- [41 ]
- Top height estimation in lodgepole
          pine sample plots. (by Oscar García and Adrian Batho). Western
          Journal of Applied Forestry 20(1), 64-68. 2005.
- Sequel to [32], this time in English :-)  Abstract/text. 
        Computer code.
- [42 ]
- Comparing and combining stem
          analysis and permanent sample plot data in site index models. Forest
          Science 51(4), 277-283. 2005.
- 
          Abstract/text.
- [43 ]
- Site index: Concepts and methods. 
        In: Cieszewski, C. J., and Strub, M.  (eds.).  Second
          International Conference on Forest Measurements and Quantitative
          Methods and Management & The 2004 Southern Mensurationists
          Meeting, p.275-283.  Warnell
          School of Forestry and Natural Resources, University of Georgia,
          Athens, GA, USA.  2006.
- Demystifying site modelling (or trying
        to).  Text
        (PDF, 308 Kb).
- [44 ]
- Thinking about Time.  In:
        Naito, Kenji (ed.)  The Role of Forests for Coming Generations
          -- Philosophy and Technology for Forest Resource Management,
        p.47-54.  Japan Society of Forest Planning Press.  
        Utsunomiya, Japan, 2005.
- Not as philosophical as it sounds, about
        dynamic modelling and scales.  Preprint.
- [45 ]
- TADAM: A dynamic whole-stand
          approximation for the TASS growth model. The Forestry
          Chronicle 81(4), 575-581, 2005. Errata: 81(6), 815, 2005.
- Easier [39], with
        documentation of pine and spruce versions.  Abstract/text. 
        Errata:
        chunk missing in the conclusions.
- [46 ]
- Distributions and spatial structure. 
        In: Reynolds, Keith M. (ed)  "Sustainable forestry in theory and
        practice:  Recent advances in inventory and monitoring, statistics
        and modeling, information and knowledge management, and policy
        science".  USDA Forest Service,  Pacific Northwest Research
        Station, Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-688.  CD-ROM and on
          line.
- More on dbh distributions and
        individual-tree models (see [23] and [49]). 
        
          Text.
- [47 ]
- Unifying sigmoid univariate growth
          equations. Forest Biometry, Modelling and Information
          Sciences 1, 63-68. 2005.
- The Theory of Everything   :-)
            
          Text
 Typo: page 65, missing minus sign in the exponent of the Korf.
- [48 ]
- Modelling height development of
          mature Nothofagus obliqua 
        (by Christian Salas and Oscar Garcia).  Forest Ecology and
          Management229, 1-6.
        2006.
- Dealing with stem-analysis data,
        breast-height ages, constrained site curves, etc.   Abstract/text
        on line.  Preprint.
- [49 ]
- Scale
          and spatial structure effects on tree size distributions: Implications
          for growth and yield modelling..  Canadian
          Journal of Forest Research 36(11), 2983-2993. 2006.
- Individual-tree modelling is not as simple as generally thought. 
        Abstract/Text at CJFR
        website.  Local copy
        (PDF, 398 Kb).  Typo:  on first page, 2nd column, line 5,
        "error-variables" should be "error-in-variables".
- [50 ]
- De Perthuis and the origins of site
          index: A historical note  (by Adrian Batho and Oscar Garcia).
        Forest Biometry, Modelling and Information Sciences 1,
        1-10. 2006.
- Site index under the
        guillotine.    Text. 
        De Perthuis' book
        in Google Books.
-  [51 ]
- Dimensionalidad en los modelos de
          crecimiento [Dimensionality in growth models].  Cuadernos
          de la Sociedad Española de Ciencias Forestales 23, 19-25.
        2007.
- The Whole-stand Modeller's Manifesto
         :-)    Text
        (Spanish).  English version in [55], below.
-  [52 ]
- Visualization
          of a general family of growth functions and probability distributions-- The Growth-curve Explorer.  Environmental Modelling and Software 23(12),
        1474-1475. 2008.
- A follow-up to [47].
         doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2008.04.005
-  [53 ]
- A
          simple and effective forest stand mortality model.  Mathematical and Computational Forestry
          & Nat.-Res. Sci.  1(1), 1-9. 2009.
- KISS.  Self-thinning laws (and
        allometry, etc.) may be largely consequences of Garcia's
          log principle: "Anything plotted on log-log coordinates tends
        to a straight line"  :-)    Text.
- [54 ]
- A
          height-growth and site-index model for interior spruce in the
          Sub-Boreal Spruce biogeoclimatic zone of British Columbia  (by Zhengjun Hu and
        Oscar García).  Canadian
          Journal of Forest Research 40(6), 1175–1183. 2010.
- An application of [42],
        with some twists.  doi:10.1139/X10-075
- [55 ]
- Models
          and limits to predictability.  Natural Resources
        and Environmental Studies Institute Occasional Paper No. 6, University
        of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, B.C., Canada. 2010.
- English version of [51]. 
        Download (NRESI)
- [56 ]
- A
          parsimonious dynamic stand model for interior spruce in British
          Columbia.  Forest
          Science 57(4),
        265-280. 2011.
- Development of Scube,
        see web site.  
          Abstract / text. Preprint.
- [57 ]
- Dynamical
          implications of the variability representation in site-index
          modelling. European Journal
          of Forest Research 130(4), 671-675. 2011.
- Not another long and complicated
        paper.  This is short and complicated!  doi:
          10.1007/s10342-010-0458-0.
 Afterthought: May have been better to label the second column of Table 1
        as "Transition function" rather than "Flow equation". The three entries
        in each row are different but equivalent ways of describing a flow.
- [58 ]
- A
          biologically-consistent stand growth model for loblolly pine in the
          Piedmont physiographic region, USA (by O. García, H.E.
        Burkhart, and R.L. Amateis). Forest Ecology and Management 262(11), 2035–2041. 2011.
- Reputable authors to the rescue! 
        This is easier to read than [56], it was possible to
        omit many distracting details. doi:
          10.1016/j.foreco.2011.08.047.  Preprint. 
        Web site.
- [59 ]
- LINK
          News: Growth and yield of interior spruce: filling in the blanks. BC
          Journal of Ecosystems and Management 12(3), xvi–xvii. 2011.
- Short note.  Text
          (BCJEM).
- [60 ]
- Self-thinning
          limits in two and three dimensions.  Mathematical
          and Computational Forestry & Nat.-Res. Sci.  4(2),
        66-72. 2012. Abstract
          / Text (MCFNS).
- Flatland from the air  :-)
           The slopes of Reineke's  (log N
        + bd log D
        = c1),  3/2
        law  (log N + bv
        log v = c2), 
        and Hart-Becking  (log N
        + bh log H
        = c3)  limits
        are not independent, they must satisfy  bd
          bv + 2 bv
          bh - bd
          bh = 0 .  New "stand density index":  N D3.4
        / H2
        .
- [61 ]
- Building
          a dynamic growth model for trembling aspen in Western Canada without
          age data.  Canadian
          Journal of Forest Research 43(3), 256-265. 2013.
- Among other things, the age-independence
        facilitates introducing adjustments for climate change, and greatly
        reduces any effects of past changes on the parameter estimates. Typo:
        the exponent of N in equation
        [19d] should be 0.09578, not 0.06518. doi:
          10.1139/cjfr-2012-0366. Preprint.
- [62 ]
- Forest
          Stands as Dynamical Systems: An Introduction.  Modern Applied Science 7(5), 32-38.
        2013.
 (just kidding).  Open access: doi:
          10.5539/mas.v7n5p32. I recently learned of an early example of
        System Dynamics forest growth model by Ung,
          Beaulieu, and Bégin (1978), following earlier work by Kalgraf and
        Egeberg in Norway. Found a paper by Kalgraf. (just kidding).  Open access: doi:
          10.5539/mas.v7n5p32. I recently learned of an early example of
        System Dynamics forest growth model by Ung,
          Beaulieu, and Bégin (1978), following earlier work by Kalgraf and
        Egeberg in Norway. Found a paper by Kalgraf.
- [63 ]
- A site
          index model for lodgepole pine in British Columbia  (by A. Batho
        and O. García).  Forest
          Science 60(5), 982-987. 2014.
- Screening for past suppression. doi:
          10.5849/forsci.13-509. Preprint.
- [64 ]
- Developing
          a dynamic growth model for teak plantations in India  (by
        V.P. Tewari, J.G. Álvarez-González, and O. García).  Forest Ecosystems 1:9.
        2014.
- Abstract
          / Text. 
      - [65 ]
- A
          generic approach to spatial individual-based modelling and simulation
          of plant communities.  Mathematical and
          Computational Forestry and Nat.-Res. Sci. (MCFNS) 6(1),
        36-47. 2014.
- An R platform for experimenting with
        distance-dependent individual-tree models. 
        Abstract,
          text, code listings (at Journal site). Local copy of article.
        Web site.
- [66 ]
- Can plasticity make spatial
          structure irrelevant in individual-tree models?. Forest
          Ecosystems 2014, 1:16.
- Yes, it can.
        Article.
- [67 ]
- Siplab,
          a spatial individual-based plant modelling system. 
        Computational
          Ecology and Software 4(4), 215-222. 2014.
- Concise overview of distance-dependent
        individual-tree models, gentle introduction to siplab.
        Abstract/text
        (at Journal site).
-