A Moment to Breathe
February 8th, 2010I had been experiencing the usual withdrawel symptoms of not writing and for the first time this semester, I felt like I had the opportunity to write something. The piece I wrote was a bit of a gamble, but I ran with it. Who knows, this could be the third accurate prediction I’ve ever made or it could be the first big prediction I’ve ever made that is going to fall flat. As with my previous predictions, it’s not something I just pull out of thin air, but rather something that takes long study and a round of all the plausiblities and measuring the odds of what’s going to happen (not an easy task to say the least).
My prediction is essentially that ACTA is going to lose teeth simply because of all the different opinions going around within ACTA and where it should go among other things. I think that a vision of complete chaos and filibustering would really explain why all the secrecy is going on because that would wreck some images amongst pro-copyright maximalist camps. I can expect some disagreement within the details as that’s just a normal part of online commenting, but I feel that the overall point of view is actually sound at this point that there is reason to doubt the extremes ACTA was originally intended to go. The question really is, how flat is this thing going to go?
I will readily admit that I was among the first to sound the alarms about ACTA, but naturally, it was because it was a huge threat to what we know today at that time. As things went along with various events happening throughout the process, I can admit that there are reasons to doubt that ACTA would live up completely to copyright extremists expectations. Of course, until this point, that was very hard to see.